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Finaxion Research · ABBV

Which strategy works on ABBV?

On ABBV, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.

Findings

On ABBV, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample. The best is RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70): -7.1 points a year over buying and holding ABBV. The worst is Upper Bollinger band breakout: -20.5 points a year against buy-and-hold.

  1. On ABBV, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.
  2. The best is RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70): -7.1 points a year over buying and holding ABBV.
  3. The worst is Upper Bollinger band breakout: -20.5 points a year against buy-and-hold.

The 20 strategies, one by one

StrategyReturnBuy and holdExcess (pts/yr)Vs. S&P 500 (pts/yr)Out of sampleTrades
RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70)446.0%×13-7.1%-1.6%32
“Sell in May and go away”367.0%×13-8.4%-2.9%overfit27
ADX: trade only in strong trends298.6%×13-9.7%-4.2%391
The golden cross (50/200)247.2%×13-10.8%-5.3%25
Wyckoff: buying the accumulation187.4%×13-12.3%-6.8%63
The Turtles: 55-day breakout178.1%×13-12.6%-7.0%55
Supertrend: the line that changes colour167.8%×13-12.9%-7.3%23
Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3)141.3%×13-13.7%-8.2%176
Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles106.2%×13-14.9%-9.4%870
Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA)92.5%×13-15.4%-9.9%478
Bounce off the lower Bollinger band87.7%×13-15.6%-10.1%102
The MACD cross (12/26/9)87.6%×13-15.6%-10.1%273
Parabolic SAR: follow the dots85.9%×13-15.7%-10.2%289
Only invest above the 200-day average85.7%×13-15.7%-10.2%131
2-day RSI (the Connors rule)49.9%×13-17.3%-11.8%303
Ichimoku: buy above the cloud14.5%×13-19.4%-13.8%207
ICT / Smart Money: the fair value gap14.5%×13-19.4%-13.8%90
ICT / Smart Money: the order block-0.1%×13-20.4%-14.8%2
Smart Money: the liquidity sweep-0.8%×13-20.4%-14.9%32
Upper Bollinger band breakout-2.0%×13-20.5%-15.0%222

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