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Finaxion Research · AMCR

Which strategy works on AMCR?

On AMCR, 2 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.

Findings

On AMCR, 2 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample. The best is RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70): +3.3 points a year over buying and holding AMCR. The worst is Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles: -12.2 points a year against buy-and-hold.

  1. On AMCR, 2 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.
  2. The best is RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70): +3.3 points a year over buying and holding AMCR.
  3. The worst is Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles: -12.2 points a year against buy-and-hold.

The 20 strategies, one by one

StrategyReturnBuy and holdExcess (pts/yr)Vs. S&P 500 (pts/yr)Out of sampleTrades
RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70)212.3%100.6%+3.3%-6.7%44
2-day RSI (the Connors rule)127.2%100.6%+0.9%-9.1%293
Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3)70.7%100.6%-1.2%-11.2%144
“Sell in May and go away”59.0%100.6%-1.7%-11.7%28
Supertrend: the line that changes colour3.5%100.6%-4.8%-14.8%76
Bounce off the lower Bollinger band3.1%100.6%-4.8%-14.8%120
ICT / Smart Money: the order block-0.4%100.6%-5.0%-15.0%2
Wyckoff: buying the accumulation-0.6%100.6%-5.0%-15.0%52
The MACD cross (12/26/9)-10.7%100.6%-5.8%-15.8%266
Smart Money: the liquidity sweep-14.0%100.6%-6.0%-16.1%30
ICT / Smart Money: the fair value gap-14.1%100.6%-6.1%-16.1%202
Ichimoku: buy above the cloud-22.9%100.6%-6.8%-16.8%163
Upper Bollinger band breakout-23.4%100.6%-6.8%-16.9%206
The Turtles: 55-day breakout-34.8%100.6%-8.0%-18.0%55
Parabolic SAR: follow the dots-36.9%100.6%-8.2%-18.2%227
Only invest above the 200-day average-42.7%100.6%-8.8%-18.8%119
ADX: trade only in strong trends-50.5%100.6%-9.8%-19.8%378
Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA)-52.9%100.6%-10.1%-20.2%383
The golden cross (50/200)-56.4%100.6%-10.7%-20.7%27
Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles-65.6%100.6%-12.2%-22.2%692

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