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Finaxion Research · META

Which strategy works on META?

On META, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.

Findings

On META, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample. The best is Only invest above the 200-day average: -1.4 points a year over buying and holding META. The worst is Kaufman's adaptive moving average (KAMA): -27.6 points a year against buy-and-hold.

  1. On META, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.
  2. The best is Only invest above the 200-day average: -1.4 points a year over buying and holding META.
  3. The worst is Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA): -27.6 points a year against buy-and-hold.

The 20 strategies, one by one

StrategyReturnBuy and holdExcess (pts/yr)Vs. S&P 500 (pts/yr)Out of sampleTrades
Only invest above the 200-day average×13×15-1.4%+4.3%70
The golden cross (50/200)×11×15-2.3%+3.4%16
Ichimoku: buy above the cloud986.3%×15-2.7%+3.0%152
2-day RSI (the Connors rule)911.1%×15-3.3%+2.4%334
Supertrend: the line that changes colour657.9%×15-5.7%+0.0%30
“Sell in May and go away”611.2%×15-6.2%-0.5%overfit28
The Turtles: 55-day breakout375.3%×15-9.4%-3.7%56
Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3)150.1%×15-14.3%-8.6%195
RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70)129.3%×15-14.9%-9.2%29
Bounce off the lower Bollinger band102.7%×15-15.8%-10.2%108
Wyckoff: buying the accumulation50.4%×15-18.0%-12.3%72
The MACD cross (12/26/9)39.1%×15-18.6%-12.9%295
ICT / Smart Money: the fair value gap15.0%×15-19.9%-14.2%124
ADX: trade only in strong trends10.9%×15-20.2%-14.5%455
ICT / Smart Money: the order block-6.1%×15-21.4%-15.7%4
Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles-10.9%×15-21.7%-16.0%935
Smart Money: the liquidity sweep-30.6%×15-23.5%-17.8%44
Parabolic SAR: follow the dots-35.6%×15-24.0%-18.3%324
Upper Bollinger band breakout-47.5%×15-25.4%-19.7%242
Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA)-62.8%×15-27.6%-21.9%563

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