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Finaxion Research · The golden cross (50/200) · single stocks · Recomputed 2026-09-10

Does the golden cross (50/200) work on NFLX?

The golden cross (50/200) does not beat buy-and-hold on NFLX: -3.0 points a year over 24 years.

Total return
×382
Buy and hold
×677
CAGR
27.8%
Sharpe
0.71
Max drawdown
-58.5%
Trades
26
Out of sample
—
Years
24
1×10×100×1000×200320052007200920112013201520172019202120232025
StrategyNFLX

Findings

  1. The golden cross (50/200) does not beat buy-and-hold on NFLX: -3.0 points a year over 24 years.
  2. Against the S&P 500 over the same window: +17.5 points a year.
  3. Total return ×382 versus ×677 for buy-and-hold, with 26 trades.
  4. Maximum drawdown -58.5%.
  5. It beats in neither half of the history (split at 2014).
  6. It ranks #4 of 235 markets for this strategy by annual excess over the S&P 500.

Findings derived from the full panel. Each carries its number and its denominator; the computations are reproducible with artifact 8fb75dc6eee1.

Exactly what was tested

Long while the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA; flat when it is below. Next-close execution. No leverage, no stop.

How to read it

The verdict compares the strategy with buying and holding NFLX over the same window, with round-trip costs per asset class. “Out of sample” is walk-forward: the rule is fit on one stretch and judged on the next. A result that beats in the full sample but not out of it is overfit. Full methodology in the protocol. How we test.

Open this backtest with its trades   Trades (CSV)

Every strategy on NFLX → · Full page for The golden cross (50/200) →

How to cite

Finaxion Research (2026). Does the golden cross (50/200) work on NFLX?. Daily backtest 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artifact 8fb75dc6eee1. https://finaxion.app/en/research/golden-cross/nflx

Not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.