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Finaxion Research · The golden cross (50/200) · single stocks · Recomputed 2026-09-10

Does the golden cross (50/200) work on PSKY?

The golden cross (50/200) beats buy-and-hold on PSKY by +10.0 points a year over 21 years.

Total return
384.9%
Buy and hold
-34.8%
CAGR
7.9%
Sharpe
0.27
Max drawdown
-70.6%
Trades
22
Out of sample
overfit
Years
21
1×9×20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
StrategyPSKY

Findings

  1. The golden cross (50/200) beats buy-and-hold on PSKY by +10.0 points a year over 21 years.
  2. Against the S&P 500 over the same window: -3.2 points a year.
  3. Total return +384.9% versus -34.8% for buy-and-hold, with 22 trades.
  4. The result does not hold out of sample: it is overfit.
  5. Maximum drawdown -70.6%.
  6. It beats in both halves of the history (split at 2016).
  7. It ranks #122 of 235 markets for this strategy by annual excess over the S&P 500.

Findings derived from the full panel. Each carries its number and its denominator; the computations are reproducible with artifact 8fb75dc6eee1.

Exactly what was tested

Long while the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA; flat when it is below. Next-close execution. No leverage, no stop.

How to read it

The verdict compares the strategy with buying and holding PSKY over the same window, with round-trip costs per asset class. “Out of sample” is walk-forward: the rule is fit on one stretch and judged on the next. A result that beats in the full sample but not out of it is overfit. Full methodology in the protocol. How we test.

Open this backtest with its trades   Trades (CSV)

Every strategy on PSKY → · Full page for The golden cross (50/200) →

How to cite

Finaxion Research (2026). Does the golden cross (50/200) work on PSKY?. Daily backtest 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artifact 8fb75dc6eee1. https://finaxion.app/en/research/golden-cross/psky

Not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.