FINAXIONResearch
Finaxion Research · Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) · single stocks · Recomputed 2026-09-10

Does Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) work on FTV?

Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) does not beat buy-and-hold on FTV: -2.0 points a year over 10 years.

Total return
64.9%
Buy and hold
100.1%
CAGR
5.1%
Sharpe
0.15
Max drawdown
-41.7%
Trades
147
Out of sample
—
Years
10
1×1.6×2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
StrategyFTV

Findings

  1. Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) does not beat buy-and-hold on FTV: -2.0 points a year over 10 years.
  2. Against the S&P 500 over the same window: -10.4 points a year.
  3. Total return +64.9% versus +100.1% for buy-and-hold, with 147 trades.
  4. Maximum drawdown -41.7%.
  5. It beats in neither half of the history (split at 2021).
  6. It ranks #185 of 235 markets for this strategy by annual excess over the S&P 500.

Findings derived from the full panel. Each carries its number and its denominator; the computations are reproducible with artifact f4bff284709b.

Exactly what was tested

%K(14) crosses above %D(3) in the oversold zone → entry. Held until %K exceeds 80 → exit.

How to read it

The verdict compares the strategy with buying and holding FTV over the same window, with round-trip costs per asset class. “Out of sample” is walk-forward: the rule is fit on one stretch and judged on the next. A result that beats in the full sample but not out of it is overfit. Full methodology in the protocol. How we test.

Open this backtest with its trades   Trades (CSV)

Every strategy on FTV → · Full page for Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) →

How to cite

Finaxion Research (2026). Does Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) work on FTV?. Daily backtest 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artifact f4bff284709b. https://finaxion.app/en/research/stochastic-oscillator/ftv

Not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.