FINAXIONResearch
Finaxion Research · Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) · single stocks · Recomputed 2026-09-10

Does Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) work on MET?

Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) beats buy-and-hold on MET by +0.7 points a year over 26 years.

Total return
×15
Buy and hold
×13
CAGR
10.8%
Sharpe
0.36
Max drawdown
-60.1%
Trades
389
Out of sample
overfit
Years
26
1×8.1×15.2×2001200320052007200920112013201520172019202120232025
StrategyMET

Findings

  1. Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) beats buy-and-hold on MET by +0.7 points a year over 26 years.
  2. Against the S&P 500 over the same window: +2.5 points a year.
  3. Total return ×15 versus ×13 for buy-and-hold, with 389 trades.
  4. The result does not hold out of sample: it is overfit.
  5. Maximum drawdown -60.1%.
  6. It beat before 2013 and stopped afterwards.
  7. It ranks #14 of 235 markets for this strategy by annual excess over the S&P 500.

Findings derived from the full panel. Each carries its number and its denominator; the computations are reproducible with artifact f4bff284709b.

Exactly what was tested

%K(14) crosses above %D(3) in the oversold zone → entry. Held until %K exceeds 80 → exit.

How to read it

The verdict compares the strategy with buying and holding MET over the same window, with round-trip costs per asset class. “Out of sample” is walk-forward: the rule is fit on one stretch and judged on the next. A result that beats in the full sample but not out of it is overfit. Full methodology in the protocol. How we test.

Open this backtest with its trades   Trades (CSV)

Every strategy on MET → · Full page for Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) →

How to cite

Finaxion Research (2026). Does Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3) work on MET?. Daily backtest 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artifact f4bff284709b. https://finaxion.app/en/research/stochastic-oscillator/met

Not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.