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Finaxion Research · TSLA

Which strategy works on TSLA?

On TSLA, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.

Findings

On TSLA, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars, and 0 of them hold out of sample. The best is the MACD cross (12/26/9) at -5.3 points a year over buying and holding TSLA, while the worst is ICT / Smart Money: the order block at -40.2 points a year against buy-and-hold.

  1. On TSLA, 0 of 20 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.
  2. The best is the MACD cross (12/26/9): -5.3 points a year over buying and holding TSLA.
  3. The worst is ICT / Smart Money: the order block: -40.2 points a year against buy-and-hold.

The 20 strategies, one by one

StrategyReturnBuy and holdExcess (pts/yr)Vs. S&P 500 (pts/yr)Out of sampleTrades
The MACD cross (12/26/9)×123×231-5.3%+19.6%—317
Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA)×51×231-12.4%+12.5%—539
The golden cross (50/200)×25×231-18.0%+6.9%—30
Ichimoku: buy above the cloud×20×231-19.5%+5.3%—208
Wyckoff: buying the accumulation×20×231-19.7%+5.2%—97
ADX: trade only in strong trends×19×231-19.9%+5.0%—517
RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70)×17×231-20.8%+4.1%—33
Supertrend: the line that changes colour×14×231-22.3%+2.6%—32
The Turtles: 55-day breakout×13×231-22.7%+2.1%—62
Only invest above the 200-day average×13×231-23.0%+1.9%—168
2-day RSI (the Connors rule)844.3%×231-25.1%-0.2%—386
“Sell in May and go away”724.2%×231-26.1%-1.2%overfit32
Upper Bollinger band breakout453.0%×231-28.8%-4.0%—262
Parabolic SAR: follow the dots385.3%×231-29.7%-4.9%—353
Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles280.0%×231-31.4%-6.5%—1045
Bounce off the lower Bollinger band203.8%×231-32.9%-8.0%—124
ICT / Smart Money: the fair value gap88.8%×231-36.0%-11.1%—100
Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3)52.8%×231-37.4%-12.5%—216
Smart Money: the liquidity sweep9.3%×231-39.5%-14.6%—40
ICT / Smart Money: the order block-2.3%×231-40.2%-15.3%—4

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