Supertrend: the line that changes colour does not beat buy-and-hold on ANET: -27.4 points a year over 12 years.
Findings derived from the full panel. Each carries its number and its denominator; the computations are reproducible with artifact e097c9613211.
Entry when the close exceeds the upper band (ATR 10, multiplier 3); exit when the close drops below the lower band. The classic Supertrend definition.
The verdict compares the strategy with buying and holding ANET over the same window, with round-trip costs per asset class. “Out of sample” is walk-forward: the rule is fit on one stretch and judged on the next. A result that beats in the full sample but not out of it is overfit. Full methodology in the protocol. How we test.
Open this backtest with its trades Trades (CSV)
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Finaxion Research (2026). Does Supertrend: the line that changes colour work on ANET?. Daily backtest 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artifact e097c9613211. https://finaxion.app/en/research/supertrend/anet
Not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.