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Finaxion Research · Wyckoff: buying the accumulation · single stocks · Recomputed 2026-09-10

Does Wyckoff: buying the accumulation work on PFG?

Wyckoff: buying the accumulation does not beat buy-and-hold on PFG: -2.1 points a year over 25 years.

Total return
531.4%
Buy and hold
920.1%
CAGR
7.7%
Sharpe
0.26
Max drawdown
-74.6%
Trades
112
Out of sample
—
Years
25
1×10×2002200420062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
StrategyPFG

Findings

  1. Wyckoff: buying the accumulation does not beat buy-and-hold on PFG: -2.1 points a year over 25 years.
  2. Against the S&P 500 over the same window: -2.4 points a year.
  3. Total return +531.4% versus +920.1% for buy-and-hold, with 112 trades.
  4. Maximum drawdown -74.6%.
  5. It beat before 2014 and stopped afterwards.
  6. It ranks #54 of 227 markets for this strategy by annual excess over the S&P 500.

Findings derived from the full panel. Each carries its number and its denominator; the computations are reproducible with artifact 11e887f77aa5.

Exactly what was tested

Mechanical approximation: 20-bar range with an 8-bar test window; active accumulation state → long; state lost → flat.

How to read it

The verdict compares the strategy with buying and holding PFG over the same window, with round-trip costs per asset class. “Out of sample” is walk-forward: the rule is fit on one stretch and judged on the next. A result that beats in the full sample but not out of it is overfit. Full methodology in the protocol. How we test.

Open this backtest with its trades   Trades (CSV)

Every strategy on PFG → · Full page for Wyckoff: buying the accumulation →

How to cite

Finaxion Research (2026). Does Wyckoff: buying the accumulation work on PFG?. Daily backtest 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artifact 11e887f77aa5. https://finaxion.app/en/research/wyckoff-accumulation/pfg

Not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results.