FINAXIONResearch
Finaxion Research · Smart Money / ICT / Wyckoff · Actualizado 2026-09-10

Smart Money: la barrida de liquidez

Funciona en pocos mercados

Su terreno: acciones e índices, en 4 horas, en un activo suelto — bate en 7 de 921 combinaciones.

Mercados que bate
4 / 481
Vs. índice
-11.4 pts/año
Rendimiento total
-17.8%
Sharpe
-1.80
Caída máxima
-20.2%
Operaciones
116
10×19941997200020032006200920122015201820212024
EstrategiaComprar y mantener

Detalle sobre el índice (S&P 500), que es la referencia de la gráfica, la robustez y los vecinos.

¿Qué funciona y qué no de Smart Money: la barrida de liquidez?

Smart Money: la barrida de liquidez no funciona de forma consistente en ninguna clase de activo; donde menos mal va es en acciones sueltas con 7 de 904 (1 %), mientras que en criptomonedas bate en 0 de 14. De los 4 mercados diarios donde bate, 2 aguantan fuera de muestra (50 %), y ningún parámetro vecino bate al índice, por lo que el ajuste publicado es un punto, no una zona. La estrategia mejora al alargar la vela: en 5 minutos bate en 0 de 110 y en 4 horas en 2 de 110; su mejor mercado diario es TPR con -5,8 puntos al año sobre el S&P 500 en 26 años y 108 operaciones, y su peor mercado diario es Cartera con balance: S&P 500 (máx. 25 posiciones) con -18,2 puntos al año frente al S&P 500.

  1. No hay una clase de activo donde Smart Money: la barrida de liquidez funcione de forma consistente; donde menos mal va es en acciones sueltas: 7 de 904 (1 %).
  2. Donde peor va es en criptomonedas: bate en 0 de 14.
  3. De los 4 mercados diarios donde bate, 2 aguantan fuera de muestra (50 %).
  4. Ningún parámetro vecino bate al índice: el ajuste publicado es un punto, no una zona.
  5. Mejora al alargar la vela: en 5 minutos bate en 0 de 110; en 4 horas, en 2 de 110.
  6. Su mejor mercado diario es TPR: -5,8 puntos al año sobre el S&P 500 en 26 años, 108 operaciones.
  7. Su peor mercado diario es Cartera con balance: S&P 500 (máx. 25 posiciones): -18,2 puntos al año frente al S&P 500.

Hallazgos derivados del panel completo. Cada uno lleva su número y su denominador; los cálculos son reproducibles con el artefacto 2544360d2bb7.

Lo que se promete

«Los grandes barren los stops por debajo del mínimo anterior y luego suben. Compra justo después de la barrida.»

Lo que probamos exactamente

Aproximación mecánica: mínimo de 25 barras perforado y cierre de vuelta por encima en la misma vela → entrada; salida a las 20 barras.

Por qué

En cada mercado

Índices y ETFs · 0 / 6 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 6

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
S&P 500 (SPY)-17.8%+3081.0%-3098.9%-11.4 pts116OVERFIT
Nasdaq-100 (QQQ)-16.7%+1565.8%-1582.5%-9.2 pts102OVERFIT
Russell 2000 (IWM)-2.5%+801.9%-804.4%-8.8 pts110OVERFIT
Emergentes (EEM)-32.2%+830.9%-863.2%-13.3 pts62OVERFIT
Oro (GLD)-6.1%+820.3%-826.4%-11.2 pts52OVERFIT
Bonos 20 años (TLT)-13.4%+131.2%-144.6%-11.9 pts70OVERFIT

Cartera con balance: Dow 30 (máx. 10 posiciones) · 0 / 1 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 1

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
Dow 30 (cartera) (30 · máx. 10)-92.2%+3081.0%-3173.2%-18.2 pts2820

Cartera con balance: Nasdaq-100 (máx. 20 posiciones) · 0 / 1 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 1

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
Nasdaq-100 (cartera) (98 · máx. 20)-80.8%+3081.0%-3161.8%-15.7 pts6792

Cartera con balance: S&P 500 (máx. 25 posiciones) · 0 / 1 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 1

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
S&P 500 (cartera) (498 · máx. 25)-92.2%+3081.0%-3173.3%-18.2 pts36080

Acciones, una a una (Dow 30 + Nasdaq-100) · 4 / 470 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 216

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
AAPL-30.4%+322813.1%-322843.4%antes de 1993128OVERFIT
AMGN-5.1%+187272.6%-187277.7%antes de 1993122OVERFIT
AMZN-10.3%+265196.1%-265206.4%-10.1 pts92OVERFIT
AXP-43.0%+27029.4%-27072.4%antes de 1993186OVERFIT
BA-38.6%+108724.7%-108763.3%antes de 1993216OVERFIT
CAT+11.1%+172708.3%-172697.2%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
CRM-0.5%+5992.9%-5993.4%-11.0 pts74OVERFIT
CSCO-39.3%+222956.6%-222995.9%antes de 1993126OVERFIT
CVX+10.6%+68037.6%-68027.0%antes de 1993208OVERFIT
DIS+11.1%+189847.3%-189836.2%antes de 1993212OVERFIT
GOOGL-22.8%+13534.3%-13557.1%-12.4 pts66OVERFIT
GS-16.8%+2027.1%-2043.9%-9.1 pts106OVERFIT
HD+66.3%+1985758.9%-1985692.6%antes de 1993156OVERFIT
HON-7.5%+21058.8%-21066.3%antes de 1993190OVERFIT
IBM-27.1%+16203.8%-16231.0%antes de 1993202OVERFIT
JNJ-17.8%+445196.6%-445214.4%antes de 1993198OVERFIT
JPM-33.9%+34522.5%-34556.4%antes de 1993132OVERFIT
KO-21.9%+199349.6%-199371.5%antes de 1993216OVERFIT
MCD-21.2%+236707.0%-236728.2%antes de 1993176OVERFIT
MMM-43.5%+31160.0%-31203.5%antes de 1993244OVERFIT
MRK-22.2%+233375.1%-233397.3%antes de 1993194OVERFIT
MSFT-16.3%+859506.0%-859522.3%antes de 1993118OVERFIT
NKE+16.4%+32003.7%-31987.3%antes de 1993116OVERFIT
NVDA+56.4%+587720.8%-587664.4%-7.1 pts78OVERFIT
PG-4.0%+59706.6%-59710.6%antes de 1993222OVERFIT
SHW-3.0%+231766.6%-231769.5%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
TRV-30.7%+12287.7%-12318.4%antes de 1993168OVERFIT
UNH-4.2%+353381.4%-353385.5%antes de 1993108OVERFIT
V-22.0%+2961.1%-2983.1%-13.5 pts50INCONCLUSIVE
WMT+2.1%+915365.3%-915363.3%antes de 1993172OVERFIT
ABNBno aplica · history < 10y (5.7y)
ADBE+49.7%+147731.1%-147681.4%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
ADI-21.5%+81534.0%-81555.6%antes de 1993148OVERFIT
ADP-5.7%+74205.9%-74211.6%antes de 1993178OVERFIT
ADSK-15.6%+58084.6%-58100.2%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
AEP-24.4%+13797.6%-13822.0%antes de 1993218OVERFIT
ALABno aplica · history < 10y (2.4y)
ALNY-24.4%+3338.4%-3362.8%-12.3 pts74OVERFIT
AMAT-42.1%+664974.8%-665016.9%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
AMD-37.1%+14863.3%-14900.4%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
APPno aplica · history < 10y (5.4y)
ARMno aplica · history < 10y (3.0y)
ASML-18.9%+96277.5%-96296.4%-11.7 pts70OVERFIT
AVGO+1.9%+32512.1%-32510.2%-14.6 pts42INCONCLUSIVE
AXON-11.9%+123065.2%-123077.2%-10.0 pts48OVERFIT
BKNG-42.3%+922.2%-964.5%-10.6 pts118OVERFIT
BKR-14.1%+933.9%-947.9%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
CCEP+11.4%+7081.8%-7070.4%antes de 1993134OVERFIT
CDNS-29.6%+16839.0%-16868.6%antes de 1993116OVERFIT
CEGno aplica · history < 10y (4.6y)
CMCSA+31.2%+47049.9%-47018.7%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
COST-20.2%+12800.7%-12820.9%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
CPRT+4.4%+21554.9%-21550.6%-10.8 pts100OVERFIT
CRWDno aplica · history < 10y (7.2y)
CSX-37.8%+40426.1%-40463.9%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
CTAS+4.8%+123411.3%-123406.5%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
DASHno aplica · history < 10y (5.7y)
DDOGno aplica · history < 10y (6.9y)
DXCM+12.6%+3002.6%-2989.9%-10.7 pts50OVERFIT
EAno aplica · history < 10y (9.0y)
EXC-4.9%+17730.6%-17735.5%antes de 1993186OVERFIT
FANG-6.1%+1406.8%-1412.9%-15.3 pts46INCONCLUSIVE
FAST+47.3%+262350.7%-262303.4%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
FER-0.6%+593.7%-594.2%-14.8 pts6INCONCLUSIVE
FTNT-23.2%+10184.6%-10207.8%-15.8 pts44INCONCLUSIVE
GEHCno aplica · history < 10y (3.7y)
GILD+17.9%+33594.8%-33576.8%antes de 1993108OVERFIT
HONAno aplica · history < 10y (0.2y)
IDXX-33.0%+58789.5%-58822.5%antes de 1993114OVERFIT
INTC-31.8%+49216.9%-49248.7%antes de 1993164OVERFIT
INTU-3.0%+15430.2%-15433.2%-10.9 pts130OVERFIT
ISRG+4.8%+18484.9%-18480.1%-8.2 pts76OVERFIT
KDP-12.9%+1090.2%-1103.1%-12.5 pts64INCONCLUSIVE
KHC-10.8%-42.2%+31.4%-15.3 pts32INCONCLUSIVE
KLAC-16.1%+289399.1%-289415.2%antes de 1993172OVERFIT
LIN+1.2%+10777.0%-10775.8%antes de 1993108OVERFIT
LITE+20.7%+5280.9%-5260.2%-12.5 pts34INCONCLUSIVE
LRCX-11.1%+159814.6%-159825.7%antes de 1993166OVERFIT
MAR+13.2%+2539.5%-2526.3%-8.5 pts108OVERFIT
MCHP-4.2%+41961.5%-41965.7%-10.9 pts126OVERFIT
MDLZ-15.6%+461.4%-477.0%-10.1 pts84OVERFIT
MELI-15.4%+6911.0%-6926.4%-12.0 pts64INCONCLUSIVE
META-30.6%+1410.2%-1440.9%-17.8 pts44INCONCLUSIVE
MNST-24.5%+61968.9%-61993.4%antes de 199392OVERFIT
MPWR+39.3%+15002.1%-14962.8%-9.5 pts70OVERFIT
MRVL-2.3%+1645.0%-1647.4%-8.6 pts84OVERFIT
MSTR-30.9%+1158.6%-1189.5%-10.3 pts66OVERFIT
MU+51.1%+70877.8%-70826.7%antes de 1993148OVERFIT
NFLX-8.8%+67643.2%-67652.0%-10.7 pts66OVERFIT
NXPI-19.3%+1721.2%-1740.4%-16.0 pts60INCONCLUSIVE
ODFL-2.2%+36444.7%-36446.9%antes de 1993142OVERFIT
ORLY-14.2%+55255.7%-55269.9%-11.4 pts116OVERFIT
PANW+3.8%+4215.4%-4211.6%-14.7 pts30INCONCLUSIVE
PCAR+12.0%+57106.4%-57094.4%antes de 1993190OVERFIT
PDDno aplica · history < 10y (8.1y)
PEP-6.2%+37760.7%-37766.9%antes de 1993208OVERFIT
PLTRno aplica · history < 10y (5.9y)
PYPL-10.7%+44.7%-55.4%-15.3 pts30INCONCLUSIVE
QCOM-27.3%+50430.1%-50457.4%antes de 1993112OVERFIT
REGN+2.5%+3718.3%-3715.8%antes de 1993120OVERFIT
ROP-24.5%+26003.6%-26028.1%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
ROST+20.9%+55801.1%-55780.2%antes de 1993168OVERFIT
SBUX-23.5%+43019.5%-43043.1%antes de 1993106OVERFIT
SHOP+3.0%+8568.8%-8565.8%-13.6 pts32INCONCLUSIVE
SNDKno aplica · history < 10y (1.5y)
SNPS-27.9%+5482.1%-5510.0%antes de 1993126OVERFIT
STX-5.6%+15614.6%-15620.2%-11.7 pts78OVERFIT
TER-41.8%+31309.8%-31351.6%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
TMUS-22.0%+318.0%-340.0%-12.2 pts44INCONCLUSIVE
TRI-5.8%+578.4%-584.2%-10.9 pts104OVERFIT
TSLA+9.3%+23002.8%-22993.5%-14.6 pts40INCONCLUSIVE
TTWO+19.2%+5509.7%-5490.5%-9.5 pts80OVERFIT
TXN-31.9%+38040.6%-38072.5%antes de 1993182OVERFIT
VRTX+41.8%+12000.4%-11958.6%antes de 1993106OVERFIT
WBD+9.2%+302.2%-292.9%-10.7 pts92OVERFIT
WDAY-18.5%+305.5%-324.1%-16.3 pts46INCONCLUSIVE
WDC+31.8%+66202.2%-66170.4%antes de 1993138OVERFIT
XEL+4.7%+7388.9%-7384.2%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
A-13.5%+486.3%-499.8%-8.9 pts108OVERFIT
ABBV-0.8%+1156.0%-1156.8%-14.9 pts32INCONCLUSIVE
ABT+8.3%+62056.2%-62047.9%antes de 1993164OVERFIT
ACGL+4.4%+4268.0%-4263.6%-10.4 pts126OVERFIT
ACN-6.0%+1726.5%-1732.5%-9.8 pts70OVERFIT
ADM-18.6%+9265.6%-9284.3%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
AEE-2.1%+813.9%-816.0%-9.4 pts100OVERFIT
AES-24.2%+647.5%-671.6%antes de 199380OVERFIT
AFL-10.2%+205848.4%-205858.6%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
AIG+1.4%+468.3%-466.8%antes de 1993142OVERFIT
AIZ-19.6%+1585.5%-1605.1%-11.8 pts80OVERFIT
AJG-20.9%+41899.5%-41920.4%antes de 1993112OVERFIT
AKAM-22.7%-25.2%+2.4%-9.5 pts88OVERFIT
ALB-1.3%+3091.3%-3092.6%-10.9 pts86OVERFIT
ALGN-41.7%+846.9%-888.6%-11.0 pts74OVERFIT
ALL-20.0%+3674.2%-3694.2%-11.5 pts142OVERFIT
ALLE-9.9%+265.9%-275.8%-14.8 pts50INCONCLUSIVE
AMCR-14.0%+100.6%-114.6%-16.1 pts30INCONCLUSIVE
AME-29.9%+25325.0%-25355.0%antes de 1993166OVERFIT
AMP-12.5%+2154.1%-2166.6%-11.8 pts50OVERFIT
AMT+5.2%+1310.2%-1304.9%-8.9 pts102OVERFIT
ANET-19.5%+5592.8%-5612.3%-15.5 pts30INCONCLUSIVE
AON-13.7%+29815.0%-29828.8%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
AOS+9.7%+13924.9%-13915.2%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
APA-36.8%+2417.2%-2454.0%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
APD+16.0%+20722.2%-20706.2%antes de 1993142OVERFIT
APH-9.2%+146951.6%-146960.8%antes de 1993112OVERFIT
APO-0.2%+1845.9%-1846.1%-14.0 pts46INCONCLUSIVE
APTV+4.5%+174.0%-169.5%-14.9 pts50INCONCLUSIVE
ARE-17.5%+624.3%-641.8%-10.3 pts104OVERFIT
ARES-3.1%+1191.9%-1195.0%-14.2 pts44INCONCLUSIVE
ATO-13.0%+13696.4%-13709.3%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
AVB-15.0%+42.3%-57.3%-16.8 pts44INCONCLUSIVE
AVY-1.4%+8544.4%-8545.8%antes de 1993180OVERFIT
AWK-10.6%+950.9%-961.5%-12.4 pts62INCONCLUSIVE
AZO-10.8%+40631.8%-40642.5%antes de 1993106OVERFIT
BAC-20.5%+4053.1%-4073.7%antes de 1993132OVERFIT
BALL+12.6%+49568.6%-49555.9%antes de 1993176OVERFIT
BAX-28.7%+1778.4%-1807.2%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
BBY+29.6%+89506.6%-89477.0%antes de 1993130OVERFIT
BDX+4.5%+21440.4%-21435.9%antes de 1993204OVERFIT
BEN-38.9%+130378.8%-130417.7%antes de 1993164OVERFIT
BF-B-17.7%+14873.5%-14891.2%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
BG-12.2%+1105.5%-1117.8%-10.1 pts90OVERFIT
BIIB+17.4%+6832.8%-6815.4%antes de 1993104OVERFIT
BLDR-47.0%+393.7%-440.8%-14.1 pts98OVERFIT
BLK-20.1%+13724.5%-13744.6%-9.6 pts106OVERFIT
BMY-6.7%+23662.6%-23669.3%antes de 1993172OVERFIT
BNY-43.2%+32230.3%-32273.6%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
BR+39.4%+1234.2%-1194.8%-9.3 pts66INCONCLUSIVE
BRK-B+9.8%+2072.5%-2062.7%-10.1 pts104OVERFIT
BRO-9.6%+76212.8%-76222.3%antes de 1993138OVERFIT
BSX-20.4%+1028.2%-1048.6%antes de 199392OVERFIT
BX+8.2%+1023.3%-1015.2%-10.4 pts62INCONCLUSIVE
BXP-0.8%+888.9%-889.7%-9.5 pts112OVERFIT
C-46.8%+1897.9%-1944.8%antes de 1993164OVERFIT
CAH+13.1%+39284.8%-39271.7%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
CARRno aplica · history < 10y (6.5y)
CASY+30.6%+80461.2%-80430.6%antes de 1993144OVERFIT
CB-2.0%+6587.6%-6589.6%-10.9 pts150OVERFIT
CBOE+7.3%+1060.1%-1052.8%-14.2 pts50INCONCLUSIVE
CBRE-35.8%+2283.8%-2319.6%-12.9 pts72OVERFIT
CCI+17.1%+899.9%-882.8%-8.5 pts96OVERFIT
CCL-32.3%+1154.4%-1186.7%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
CDW-21.4%+858.2%-879.6%-16.3 pts60INCONCLUSIVE
CF-15.7%+5815.9%-5831.7%-11.9 pts92OVERFIT
CFG+2.8%+349.9%-347.1%-13.6 pts30INCONCLUSIVE
CHD-10.9%+93736.5%-93747.4%antes de 1993144OVERFIT
CHRW+0.3%+4307.6%-4307.3%-9.3 pts82OVERFIT
CHTR+20.2%+335.5%-315.4%-13.0 pts42INCONCLUSIVE
CI-19.1%+12980.8%-13000.0%antes de 1993106OVERFIT
CIEN-5.5%+195.6%-201.1%-10.0 pts66OVERFIT
CINF-18.9%+41545.9%-41564.8%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
CL+0.5%+20919.0%-20918.5%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
CLX-16.3%+6184.2%-6200.4%antes de 1993204OVERFIT
CME-10.7%+6884.2%-6894.9%-11.8 pts76OVERFIT
CMG+4.9%+4221.6%-4216.6%-10.9 pts70OVERFIT
CMI+23.6%+28968.2%-28944.7%antes de 1993168OVERFIT
CMS+2.8%+630.8%-628.0%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
CNC+14.9%+4388.8%-4373.9%-9.5 pts66OVERFIT
CNP-34.5%+13998.0%-14032.5%antes de 1993212OVERFIT
COF+4.7%+5724.6%-5719.9%-11.0 pts124OVERFIT
COHR+28.3%+68288.9%-68260.6%antes de 1993108OVERFIT
COINno aplica · history < 10y (5.4y)
COO-29.6%+879.8%-909.4%antes de 1993130OVERFIT
COP+2.7%+13561.7%-13559.0%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
COR+8.8%+17062.1%-17053.2%-10.7 pts134OVERFIT
CPAY-21.5%+1383.7%-1405.2%-15.8 pts60INCONCLUSIVE
CPT-16.1%+2453.9%-2470.1%-11.5 pts108OVERFIT
CRH-18.8%+7617.9%-7636.7%antes de 199388OVERFIT
CRL+27.0%+1210.2%-1183.2%-7.6 pts68OVERFIT
CSGP-21.8%+3390.6%-3412.4%-9.7 pts94OVERFIT
CTSH-1.3%+35498.3%-35499.5%-9.0 pts76OVERFIT
CTVAno aplica · history < 10y (7.3y)
CVNAno aplica · history < 10y (9.3y)
CVS+22.4%+15658.6%-15636.2%antes de 1993178OVERFIT
D+16.0%+17762.4%-17746.5%antes de 1993144OVERFIT
DAL-5.7%+339.1%-344.8%-11.1 pts60INCONCLUSIVE
DD-2.3%+10113.6%-10116.0%antes de 1993200OVERFIT
DE-14.0%+101089.1%-101103.0%antes de 1993188OVERFIT
DECK+23.7%+7024.7%-7001.1%-10.2 pts92OVERFIT
DELL-4.4%+4059.8%-4064.2%-15.6 pts16INCONCLUSIVE
DG-6.4%+550.3%-556.6%-14.7 pts62INCONCLUSIVE
DGX-27.6%+9626.0%-9653.6%-11.2 pts90OVERFIT
DHI+31.5%+13111.0%-13079.5%antes de 1993108OVERFIT
DHR-28.0%+483557.2%-483585.2%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
DLR-18.6%+3540.7%-3559.4%-12.1 pts80OVERFIT
DLTR-38.9%+10731.5%-10770.4%-12.6 pts122OVERFIT
DOC+1.0%+6136.8%-6135.8%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
DOV-11.9%+29264.8%-29276.8%antes de 1993174OVERFIT
DOWno aplica · history < 10y (7.4y)
DPZ-33.6%+5638.6%-5672.2%-12.9 pts76OVERFIT
DRI+44.1%+6998.7%-6954.6%-9.7 pts138OVERFIT
DTE+2.6%+35264.3%-35261.7%antes de 1993232OVERFIT
DUK-14.1%+16239.0%-16253.1%antes de 1993138OVERFIT
DVA-24.8%+4219.3%-4244.1%-11.5 pts78OVERFIT
DVN-14.6%+1411.9%-1426.6%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
EBAY-45.9%+14035.1%-14081.0%-11.5 pts104OVERFIT
ECHO-22.9%+227.3%-250.2%-12.7 pts82INCONCLUSIVE
ECL-37.4%+20174.1%-20211.5%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
ED-40.0%+45081.6%-45121.6%antes de 1993214OVERFIT
EFX+6.7%+77234.4%-77227.7%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
EG-13.5%+2975.7%-2989.3%-11.1 pts114OVERFIT
EIX-32.4%+14610.5%-14643.0%antes de 1993130OVERFIT
EL-40.6%+1551.3%-1592.0%-12.2 pts92OVERFIT
ELV-28.2%+2326.9%-2355.1%-11.6 pts72OVERFIT
EME-26.4%+59203.5%-59229.8%-12.2 pts84OVERFIT
EMR-10.5%+19839.1%-19849.6%antes de 1993190OVERFIT
EOG+4.7%+9279.7%-9275.0%antes de 1993118OVERFIT
EQIX-9.2%+240.5%-249.6%-8.8 pts84OVERFIT
EQR-17.7%+44.2%-61.9%-17.1 pts18INCONCLUSIVE
EQT+38.1%+19557.1%-19519.0%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
ERIE-28.3%+3362.8%-3391.2%-11.7 pts144OVERFIT
ES-30.5%+2960.1%-2990.6%antes de 1993188OVERFIT
ESS+5.8%+5274.8%-5269.0%-10.9 pts124OVERFIT
ETN-21.7%+116541.5%-116563.1%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
ETR-11.3%+19797.9%-19809.2%antes de 1993190OVERFIT
EVRG+20.1%+5086.7%-5066.6%antes de 1993134OVERFIT
EW+0.1%+6500.0%-6499.9%-8.2 pts68OVERFIT
EXEno aplica · history < 10y (5.6y)
EXPD+10.3%+148324.6%-148314.3%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
EXPE-18.1%+916.1%-934.2%-12.0 pts66OVERFIT
EXR+2.9%+2698.9%-2696.0%-11.2 pts74OVERFIT
F-24.4%+6752.4%-6776.8%antes de 1993178OVERFIT
FCX-2.6%+1061.6%-1064.3%-10.8 pts94OVERFIT
FDS-8.6%+9088.9%-9097.6%-10.6 pts88OVERFIT
FDX-10.4%+53776.9%-53787.4%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
FDXFno aplica · history < 10y (0.3y)
FE-23.5%+563.0%-586.6%-10.4 pts104OVERFIT
FFIV-40.6%+5374.0%-5414.6%-10.4 pts56OVERFIT
FICO-10.9%+94747.8%-94758.7%antes de 1993126OVERFIT
FIS-21.2%+363.8%-385.0%-10.4 pts76OVERFIT
FITB-47.3%+28280.0%-28327.3%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
FIX+22.9%+11966.2%-11943.4%-8.8 pts98OVERFIT
FLEX-8.4%+7898.6%-7907.0%-11.2 pts90OVERFIT
FOXno aplica · history < 10y (7.5y)
FOXAno aplica · history < 10y (7.5y)
FRT-8.4%+24360.2%-24368.6%antes de 1993180OVERFIT
FSLR-9.1%+716.1%-725.2%-11.5 pts64OVERFIT
FTV+6.8%+100.1%-93.4%-14.8 pts40INCONCLUSIVE
GD+7.5%+221689.9%-221682.4%antes de 1993194OVERFIT
GDDY-13.5%+389.4%-402.9%-15.3 pts38INCONCLUSIVE
GE+27.0%+54356.2%-54329.2%antes de 1993236OVERFIT
GEN-11.8%+12085.6%-12097.4%antes de 1993130OVERFIT
GEVno aplica · history < 10y (2.4y)
GIS+2.3%+15015.5%-15013.2%antes de 1993138OVERFIT
GL-4.1%+12680.6%-12684.6%antes de 1993156OVERFIT
GLW+4.5%+19301.2%-19296.7%antes de 1993130OVERFIT
GM+8.2%+240.1%-231.9%-14.0 pts38INCONCLUSIVE
GNRC-14.8%+2091.1%-2105.9%-15.5 pts70INCONCLUSIVE
GPC+9.9%+12785.5%-12775.6%antes de 1993184OVERFIT
GPN+41.9%+2567.9%-2526.0%-7.6 pts76OVERFIT
GRMN+1.4%+5377.3%-5376.0%-8.9 pts94OVERFIT
GWW+6.3%+55300.2%-55293.9%antes de 1993196OVERFIT
HAL+25.4%+2860.8%-2835.3%antes de 1993156OVERFIT
HAS-1.5%+201529.8%-201531.2%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
HBAN-16.3%+3799.5%-3815.8%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
HCA+17.7%+1699.7%-1682.0%-13.1 pts50INCONCLUSIVE
HIG+9.2%+951.1%-941.8%-10.1 pts96OVERFIT
HII+19.2%+883.6%-864.5%-13.1 pts42INCONCLUSIVE
HLT-16.1%+659.1%-675.2%-15.5 pts44INCONCLUSIVE
HOODno aplica · history < 10y (5.1y)
HPE+34.4%+625.0%-590.6%-12.1 pts32INCONCLUSIVE
HPQ-11.6%+77945.5%-77957.1%antes de 1993230OVERFIT
HRL+5.4%+19046.1%-19040.7%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
HSIC+35.2%+1913.1%-1877.9%-9.6 pts98OVERFIT
HST-38.1%+12843.9%-12882.0%antes de 1993168OVERFIT
HSY-1.3%+53964.6%-53965.8%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
HUBB-12.9%+3853.5%-3866.4%-11.5 pts128OVERFIT
HUM+29.5%+20168.9%-20139.4%antes de 1993118OVERFIT
HWMno aplica · history < 10y (9.8y)
IBKR-13.6%+1526.1%-1539.7%-11.5 pts66INCONCLUSIVE
ICE-33.3%+2307.9%-2341.2%-13.1 pts72OVERFIT
IEX+3.3%+12761.2%-12757.9%antes de 1993148OVERFIT
IFF-33.5%+4754.9%-4788.5%antes de 1993174OVERFIT
INCY-41.8%+6471.7%-6513.5%-12.6 pts112OVERFIT
INVHno aplica · history < 10y (9.6y)
IP+8.7%+4590.1%-4581.5%antes de 1993224OVERFIT
IQV-1.8%+520.3%-522.0%-14.4 pts40INCONCLUSIVE
IRno aplica · history < 10y (9.3y)
IRM+5.1%+9911.6%-9906.5%-10.2 pts108OVERFIT
IT-57.5%+6431.0%-6488.5%-13.4 pts98OVERFIT
ITW+11.2%+51254.1%-51242.8%antes de 1993208OVERFIT
IVZ+2.4%+1093.8%-1091.5%-10.6 pts90OVERFIT
J-7.1%+33544.7%-33551.8%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
JBHT+8.4%+24926.6%-24918.2%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
JBL+0.5%+41217.7%-41217.2%-10.9 pts96OVERFIT
JCI+17.5%+4376.5%-4359.0%antes de 1993114OVERFIT
JKHY-17.1%+71288.2%-71305.3%antes de 1993190OVERFIT
KEY+3.2%+1405.6%-1402.4%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
KEYS+2.4%+1042.3%-1039.9%-14.1 pts52INCONCLUSIVE
KIM-2.8%+3036.5%-3039.3%antes de 199396OVERFIT
KKR-15.4%+1784.9%-1800.3%-15.9 pts46INCONCLUSIVE
KMB-36.3%+16039.9%-16076.2%antes de 1993164OVERFIT
KMI-11.6%+117.5%-129.1%-14.7 pts54INCONCLUSIVE
KR-14.9%+182706.1%-182720.9%antes de 1993208OVERFIT
KVUEno aplica · history < 10y (3.3y)
L-12.2%+22398.8%-22411.0%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
LDOS-2.7%+530.2%-533.0%-11.2 pts90OVERFIT
LEN+11.9%+29032.9%-29021.0%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
LH+7.3%+1408.2%-1401.0%antes de 1993106OVERFIT
LHX+25.2%+8519.5%-8494.4%antes de 1993132OVERFIT
LII-14.5%+3122.4%-3136.9%-9.1 pts106OVERFIT
LLY-24.9%+129720.0%-129744.9%antes de 1993176OVERFIT
LMT-12.3%+67444.7%-67456.9%antes de 1993204OVERFIT
LNT-17.8%+9408.5%-9426.2%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
LOW+0.2%+77328.4%-77328.2%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
LULU+43.9%+759.0%-715.1%-9.2 pts72INCONCLUSIVE
LUV-8.5%+24508.5%-24517.0%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
LVS-20.8%+50.3%-71.2%-12.0 pts72OVERFIT
LYB-20.3%+648.8%-669.2%-15.4 pts70INCONCLUSIVE
LYV+5.8%+1558.0%-1552.1%-10.8 pts72OVERFIT
MA-29.8%+14066.9%-14096.7%-13.0 pts74OVERFIT
MAA-38.3%+3525.2%-3563.5%-12.3 pts114OVERFIT
MAS-7.3%+7423.1%-7430.4%antes de 1993200OVERFIT
MCK+16.0%+6946.5%-6930.5%-10.7 pts96OVERFIT
MCO+13.0%+7753.9%-7741.0%-10.7 pts104OVERFIT
MDT+7.1%+51421.0%-51413.9%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
MET-4.9%+1176.9%-1181.8%-8.5 pts84OVERFIT
MGM+51.9%+1501.4%-1449.5%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
MKC+11.3%+14401.8%-14390.6%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
MLM+14.6%+3089.6%-3075.0%-10.5 pts160OVERFIT
MO-30.0%+2914781.4%-2914811.4%antes de 1993156OVERFIT
MOS-19.4%+268.9%-288.3%antes de 1993128OVERFIT
MPC-7.9%+2972.8%-2980.7%-15.1 pts26INCONCLUSIVE
MRNAno aplica · history < 10y (7.7y)
MRSH+1.2%+21192.9%-21191.6%antes de 1993180OVERFIT
MS+9.6%+6159.1%-6149.6%-10.6 pts108OVERFIT
MSCI+23.9%+2406.7%-2382.9%-10.1 pts50INCONCLUSIVE
MSI-23.1%+79243.2%-79266.2%antes de 1993222OVERFIT
MTB-1.6%+105049.8%-105051.5%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
MTD-9.7%+9346.3%-9356.0%-9.8 pts72OVERFIT
NCLH-12.5%-34.9%+22.4%-15.7 pts40INCONCLUSIVE
NDAQ-34.7%+2371.2%-2405.9%-12.7 pts88OVERFIT
NDSN-42.8%+37769.3%-37812.1%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
NEE+0.9%+23772.9%-23772.0%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
NEM+6.3%+2099.8%-2093.5%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
NI-18.0%+5234.9%-5252.9%antes de 1993204OVERFIT
NOC-6.2%+23369.3%-23375.5%antes de 1993120OVERFIT
NOW-15.2%+2907.9%-2923.1%-16.1 pts42INCONCLUSIVE
NRG-7.2%+1442.6%-1449.8%-11.4 pts68OVERFIT
NSC+4.5%+24520.7%-24516.2%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
NTAP+7.4%+19659.8%-19652.4%-10.3 pts122OVERFIT
NTRS-24.0%+53074.8%-53098.9%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
NUE-38.0%+70209.1%-70247.1%antes de 1993130OVERFIT
NVR-10.9%+61512.0%-61522.9%-11.2 pts108OVERFIT
NWS+13.8%+152.4%-138.5%-13.4 pts56INCONCLUSIVE
NWSA-5.7%+122.2%-127.9%-14.8 pts54INCONCLUSIVE
O-10.0%+5366.4%-5376.4%-11.4 pts80OVERFIT
OKE-5.8%+19101.6%-19107.4%antes de 1993142OVERFIT
OMC+9.0%+15677.5%-15668.5%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
ON+4.7%+208.7%-204.0%-8.3 pts78OVERFIT
ORCL-6.9%+296729.4%-296736.3%antes de 1993144OVERFIT
OTISno aplica · history < 10y (6.5y)
OXY-35.1%+3580.0%-3615.1%antes de 1993152OVERFIT
PCG-26.0%+1389.7%-1415.7%antes de 1993218OVERFIT
PEG+0.2%+18884.4%-18884.2%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
PFE+1.9%+20062.7%-20060.8%antes de 1993190OVERFIT
PFG-18.4%+920.1%-938.5%-10.9 pts68OVERFIT
PGR-20.2%+819581.9%-819602.2%antes de 1993152OVERFIT
PH+7.2%+41129.4%-41122.2%antes de 1993126OVERFIT
PHM+38.1%+95847.7%-95809.6%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
PLD-9.9%+1782.5%-1792.4%-9.7 pts98OVERFIT
PM+1.9%+785.7%-783.8%-12.1 pts56INCONCLUSIVE
PNC-36.3%+37937.9%-37974.2%antes de 1993152OVERFIT
PNR-16.1%+11510.8%-11526.9%antes de 1993156OVERFIT
PNW-16.2%+2247.6%-2263.8%antes de 1993166OVERFIT
PODD+4.1%+831.5%-827.4%-10.6 pts74INCONCLUSIVE
PPG+25.0%+21327.4%-21302.5%antes de 1993132OVERFIT
PPL-4.9%+7311.8%-7316.8%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
PRU-14.1%+767.8%-781.8%-10.7 pts74OVERFIT
PSA-39.5%+13958.7%-13998.2%antes de 1993204OVERFIT
PSKY-15.4%-34.8%+19.4%-11.9 pts74OVERFIT
PSX+3.6%+1071.7%-1068.1%-14.3 pts40INCONCLUSIVE
PTC-3.8%+8443.5%-8447.3%antes de 1993146OVERFIT
PWR-9.3%+8155.1%-8164.4%-9.5 pts86OVERFIT
Qno aplica · history < 10y (0.8y)
RCL-36.1%+4611.6%-4647.7%-12.3 pts122OVERFIT
REG+7.7%+2046.5%-2038.8%-10.6 pts94OVERFIT
RF-25.0%+7230.0%-7255.0%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
RJF-5.9%+52691.1%-52697.0%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
RL-32.9%+1376.9%-1409.8%-10.9 pts140OVERFIT
RMD-2.6%+43254.4%-43257.0%-10.9 pts86OVERFIT
ROK+10.7%+57325.7%-57315.0%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
ROL-11.4%+36503.9%-36515.3%antes de 1993172OVERFIT
RSG-26.0%+1977.7%-2003.7%-9.9 pts98OVERFIT
RTX-45.4%+231131.9%-231177.3%antes de 1993246OVERFIT
RVTY-13.5%+25547.2%-25560.7%antes de 1993180OVERFIT
SBAC+4.7%+2259.6%-2255.0%-8.3 pts86OVERFIT
SCHW-40.0%+45501.9%-45541.8%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
SJM+37.7%+1119.0%-1081.3%-10.1 pts138OVERFIT
SLB-5.3%+1125.4%-1130.7%antes de 1993174OVERFIT
SMCI+19.2%+4155.7%-4136.5%-10.2 pts58INCONCLUSIVE
SNA-5.3%+12522.0%-12527.4%antes de 1993180OVERFIT
SO-20.0%+32617.4%-32637.4%antes de 1993148OVERFIT
SOLVno aplica · history < 10y (2.4y)
SPG+34.7%+5330.6%-5295.9%-10.0 pts102OVERFIT
SPGI-25.3%+140503.3%-140528.6%antes de 1993174OVERFIT
SRE+9.4%+1463.0%-1453.5%-8.5 pts74OVERFIT
STE+28.5%+15491.4%-15462.9%antes de 1993128OVERFIT
STLD-35.9%+7831.8%-7867.7%-11.5 pts90OVERFIT
STT-21.6%+199686.1%-199707.7%antes de 1993152OVERFIT
STZ-13.2%+10007.0%-10020.1%antes de 1993116OVERFIT
SW+3.2%+775.0%-771.7%-11.8 pts8INCONCLUSIVE
SWK-22.0%+5887.9%-5910.0%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
SWKS-52.1%+1317.3%-1369.3%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
SYF-13.6%+325.2%-338.8%-15.2 pts26INCONCLUSIVE
SYK+11.0%+430371.4%-430360.4%antes de 1993112OVERFIT
SYY-29.4%+115885.9%-115915.3%antes de 1993166OVERFIT
T+5.6%+10219.8%-10214.1%antes de 1993118OVERFIT
TAP-30.7%+518.8%-549.5%antes de 1993150OVERFIT
TDG+7.6%+13285.3%-13277.7%-10.7 pts56OVERFIT
TDY+6.1%+7164.6%-7158.5%-8.2 pts92OVERFIT
TECH-20.2%+79246.8%-79267.0%antes de 1993126OVERFIT
TEL+2.3%+671.1%-668.8%-10.7 pts70INCONCLUSIVE
TFC-14.6%+10226.4%-10241.0%antes de 1993166OVERFIT
TGT-26.7%+90566.5%-90593.2%antes de 1993182OVERFIT
TJX+78.7%+36154.4%-36075.7%antes de 1993156OVERFIT
TKO-3.7%+1638.9%-1642.6%-8.9 pts108OVERFIT
TMO-29.6%+36784.3%-36813.8%antes de 1993170OVERFIT
TPL-2.9%+75277.1%-75280.1%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
TPR+105.8%+7766.6%-7660.8%-5.8 pts108OVERFIT
TRGP+10.9%+2202.9%-2192.0%-13.7 pts56INCONCLUSIVE
TRMB-2.5%+3366.4%-3368.9%antes de 1993128OVERFIT
TROW+13.3%+35932.6%-35919.3%antes de 1993172OVERFIT
TSCO+2.4%+15199.0%-15196.6%-10.8 pts114OVERFIT
TSN-35.5%+4340.8%-4376.3%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
TT-2.8%+49748.2%-49750.9%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
TTDno aplica · history < 10y (9.9y)
TXT+2.3%+4901.2%-4898.9%antes de 1993152OVERFIT
TYL-22.4%+43359.1%-43381.4%antes de 1993116OVERFIT
UAL-4.0%+240.6%-244.6%-11.4 pts66OVERFIT
UBERno aplica · history < 10y (7.3y)
UDR-35.7%+14119.5%-14155.2%antes de 1993192OVERFIT
UHS+32.0%+15293.2%-15261.2%antes de 1993124OVERFIT
ULTA-22.7%+1721.3%-1744.0%-12.3 pts56INCONCLUSIVE
UNP-1.1%+30311.4%-30312.4%antes de 1993174OVERFIT
UPS+1.6%+233.2%-231.7%-8.4 pts94OVERFIT
URI+16.1%+7088.3%-7072.2%-8.9 pts82OVERFIT
USB+58.0%+44799.0%-44741.0%antes de 1993142OVERFIT
VEEV+7.5%+668.8%-661.3%-13.6 pts36INCONCLUSIVE
VICIno aplica · history < 10y (8.7y)
VLO-4.8%+23394.0%-23398.8%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
VLTOno aplica · history < 10y (2.9y)
VMC+7.7%+48759.3%-48751.6%antes de 1993192OVERFIT
VRSK+6.5%+648.8%-642.3%-14.1 pts56INCONCLUSIVE
VRSN-13.0%+5322.0%-5335.0%-9.8 pts98OVERFIT
VRTno aplica · history < 10y (8.1y)
VSTno aplica · history < 10y (9.9y)
VTR+5.6%+1496.8%-1491.3%-9.5 pts112OVERFIT
VTRS-21.3%+1568.8%-1590.1%antes de 1993136OVERFIT
VZ-4.0%+4889.1%-4893.1%antes de 1993138OVERFIT
WAB-40.2%+4137.7%-4177.9%-12.4 pts134OVERFIT
WAT-29.9%+10865.4%-10895.3%-11.7 pts78OVERFIT
WEC-4.0%+23656.8%-23660.8%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
WELL-27.7%+58774.1%-58801.8%antes de 1993154OVERFIT
WFC-23.2%+63452.2%-63475.5%antes de 1993160OVERFIT
WM+2.2%+8471.2%-8469.0%antes de 1993140OVERFIT
WMB+6.9%+11974.1%-11967.2%antes de 1993114OVERFIT
WSM-19.1%+69865.8%-69884.9%antes de 1993162OVERFIT
WST-36.9%+79208.6%-79245.5%antes de 1993158OVERFIT
WTW-19.5%+1181.6%-1201.2%-10.2 pts102OVERFIT
WY-15.4%+1781.4%-1796.8%antes de 1993218OVERFIT
WYNN+15.7%+1217.6%-1201.8%-10.8 pts62OVERFIT
XOM-36.7%+183657.9%-183694.6%antes de 1993240OVERFIT
XYL-3.5%+455.0%-458.5%-15.5 pts62INCONCLUSIVE
XYZ-5.2%+527.5%-532.7%-15.2 pts32INCONCLUSIVE
YUM-13.1%+4282.5%-4295.5%-9.8 pts108OVERFIT
ZBH+32.0%+292.2%-260.1%-8.5 pts84OVERFIT
ZBRA-5.9%+8617.7%-8623.6%antes de 1993104OVERFIT
ZTS-15.2%+179.3%-194.5%-15.8 pts56INCONCLUSIVE

Divisas · 0 / 0

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
EUR/USDno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
GBP/USDno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
USD/JPYno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
USD/MXNno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
AUD/USDno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
USD/CADno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
USD/CHFno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none
NZD/USDno aplica · indicator needs volume; forex has none

Cripto · 0 / 2 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 2

ActivoRendimientoComprar y mantenerDiferenciaVs. S&P 500 (CAGR/año)Oper.Fuera de muestra
Bitcoin-19.9%+17075.3%-17095.2%-15.0 pts46INCONCLUSIVE
Etherno aplica · history < 10y (8.8y)
Litecoin+9.6%+859.3%-849.8%-13.2 pts24INCONCLUSIVE
Solanano aplica · history < 10y (6.4y)
Cardanono aplica · history < 10y (8.8y)
Dogecoinno aplica · history < 10y (8.8y)

¿Y en intradía?

Velas de 5 minutos a 4 horas, cada activo desde donde existe historia intradía (acciones 2016, divisas 2003, cripto 2015), contra mantener ese mismo activo. Diferencia frente a comprar y mantener. Sin walk-forward (ver protocolo).

Activo5 min15 min1 hora4 horasDiario
Litecoin-1348.2%-1348.1%-1325.2%-1289.0%-849.8%
Solanano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
Cardanono aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
Dogecoinno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
EUR/USDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
GBP/USDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
USD/JPYno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
AUD/USDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
USD/CADno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
USD/CHFno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
NZD/USDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
S&P 500 (SPY)-451.6%-422.4%-380.7%-356.7%-3098.9%
Nasdaq-100 (QQQ)-702.1%-671.8%-633.8%-614.3%-1582.5%
Russell 2000 (IWM)-305.1%-280.3%-233.6%-213.4%-804.4%
Emergentes (EEM)-255.6%-221.6%-184.6%-171.8%-863.2%
Oro (GLD)-390.9%-351.2%-309.1%-304.7%-826.4%
Bonos 20 años (TLT)-83.8%-48.4%-8.6%+1.9%-144.6%
AAPL-1347.4%-1320.7%-1274.5%-1259.6%-322843.4%
AMGN-377.2%-353.3%-300.0%-302.1%-187277.7%
AMZN-833.7%-807.2%-764.0%-735.5%-265206.4%
AXP-569.9%-540.1%-488.1%-481.4%-27072.4%
BA-163.5%-140.6%-86.0%-69.2%-108763.3%
CAT-1508.7%-1477.8%-1432.9%-1411.4%-172697.2%
CRM-335.9%-304.6%-272.6%-247.3%-5993.4%
CSCO-565.7%-543.8%-488.0%-480.6%-222995.9%
CVX-354.9%-317.4%-267.4%-266.0%-68027.0%
DIS-112.2%-87.2%-25.1%-29.5%-189836.2%
GOOGL-917.7%-890.4%-837.6%-841.8%-13557.1%
GS-719.8%-691.6%-644.7%-635.0%-2043.9%
HD-321.3%-293.8%-249.8%-231.7%-1985692.6%
HON-277.4%-245.1%-205.4%-187.2%-21066.3%
IBM-283.4%-256.2%-206.7%-197.2%-16231.0%
JNJ-355.1%-330.1%-285.1%-269.5%-445214.4%
JPM-739.5%-709.4%-658.0%-652.0%-34556.4%
KO-287.2%-260.1%-209.0%-199.5%-199371.5%
MCD-283.0%-256.1%-196.6%-183.0%-236728.2%
MMM-196.4%-162.2%-122.3%-127.2%-31203.5%
MRK-408.7%-384.3%-333.1%-322.0%-233397.3%
MSFT-1075.1%-1035.6%-999.4%-980.5%-859522.3%
NKE-70.3%-45.7%-0.7%-2.9%-31987.3%
NVDA-27578.1%-27530.3%-27510.8%-27489.1%-587664.4%
PG-243.5%-215.8%-153.4%-149.6%-59710.6%
SHW-446.2%-418.7%-365.5%-361.9%-231769.5%
TRV-418.6%-395.9%-339.7%-328.2%-12318.4%
UNH-399.2%-377.2%-331.5%-277.9%-353385.5%
V-540.6%-516.2%-465.1%-452.5%-2983.1%
WMT-601.8%-574.1%-518.7%-503.4%-915363.3%
ABNBno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
ADBE-313.7%-287.8%-230.2%-218.2%-147681.4%
ADI-811.4%-771.7%-734.5%-729.4%-81555.6%
ADP-437.9%-411.1%-358.2%-351.3%-74211.6%
ADSK-430.3%-393.8%-365.2%-344.6%-58100.2%
AEP-300.6%-273.3%-225.8%-220.4%-13822.0%
ALABno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
ALNY-252.9%-217.5%-195.7%-154.2%-3362.8%
AMAT-2813.2%-2764.1%-2733.0%-2720.6%-665016.9%
AMD-16805.6%-16780.6%-16717.0%-16711.2%-14900.4%
APPno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
ARMno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
ASML-2153.2%-2116.0%-2078.6%-2063.0%-96296.4%
AVGO-3394.9%-3351.8%-3324.1%-3297.2%-32510.2%
AXON-3565.9%-3545.7%-3471.3%-3491.5%-123077.2%
BKNG-414.7%-384.8%-340.7%-314.2%-964.5%
BKRno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica-947.9%
CCEP-408.8%-381.2%-334.9%-326.6%-7070.4%
CDNS-1654.9%-1627.6%-1581.7%-1570.0%-16868.6%
CEGno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
CMCSA-130.8%-99.4%-54.6%-47.8%-47018.7%
COST-704.8%-679.4%-618.6%-610.6%-12820.9%
CPRT-693.1%-667.2%-622.7%-616.0%-21550.6%
CRWDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
CSX-689.6%-663.7%-622.1%-587.4%-40463.9%
CTAS-1024.7%-995.6%-951.3%-938.1%-123406.5%
DASHno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
DDOGno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
DXCM-458.6%-435.0%-380.2%-371.6%-2989.9%
EAno aplica
EXC-311.3%-277.6%-245.6%-219.8%-17735.5%
FANG-389.6%-356.8%-307.5%-294.4%-1412.9%
FAST-646.4%-617.5%-587.8%-557.0%-262303.4%
FERno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica-594.2%
FTNT-2741.3%-2717.5%-2679.4%-2645.1%-10207.8%
GEHCno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
GILD-211.0%-188.7%-132.3%-117.3%-33576.8%
HONAno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
IDXX-776.9%-750.7%-704.9%-686.8%-58822.5%
INTC-329.3%-296.7%-257.6%-253.4%-49248.7%
INTU-410.9%-384.2%-327.9%-328.3%-15433.2%
ISRG-609.6%-588.1%-529.0%-525.5%-18480.1%
KHC-50.7%-23.3%+27.6%+31.4%+31.4%
KLAC-3055.5%-3008.9%-2978.9%-2962.0%-289415.2%
LINno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica-10775.8%
LITE-4002.5%-3979.0%-3936.2%-3937.0%-5260.2%
LRCX-4476.5%-4444.4%-4407.2%-4387.8%-159825.7%
MAR-590.2%-565.9%-503.9%-501.0%-2526.3%
MCHP-388.6%-366.4%-296.6%-293.4%-41965.7%
MDLZ-177.9%-155.7%-96.1%-95.8%-477.0%
MELI-1795.3%-1762.8%-1723.5%-1683.5%-6926.4%
META-567.2%-546.6%-494.2%-478.4%-1440.9%
MNST-179.5%-150.3%-108.1%-103.9%-61993.4%
MPWR-2246.7%-2209.1%-2176.5%-2160.5%-14962.8%
MRVL-2675.3%-2641.4%-2612.6%-2588.5%-1647.4%
MSTR-736.9%-713.8%-678.1%-644.6%-1189.5%
MU-6671.6%-6652.0%-6612.4%-6576.0%-70826.7%
NFLX-738.1%-718.6%-660.1%-633.6%-67652.0%
NXPI-297.2%-265.3%-203.7%-200.7%-1740.4%
ODFL-1059.0%-1034.2%-974.5%-975.0%-36446.9%
ORLY-532.9%-512.6%-464.0%-439.0%-55269.9%
PANW-1294.6%-1269.3%-1217.8%-1208.4%-4211.6%
PCAR-574.5%-546.6%-499.6%-474.2%-57094.4%
PDDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
PEP-193.9%-170.2%-113.6%-113.6%-37766.9%
PLTRno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
PYPL-151.5%-123.4%-72.0%-63.1%-55.4%
QCOM-434.9%-400.3%-358.3%-328.4%-50457.4%
REGN-151.8%-127.8%-74.5%-55.3%-3715.8%
ROP-240.5%-213.2%-164.2%-145.4%-26028.1%
ROST-462.8%-428.3%-386.5%-378.3%-55780.2%
SBUX-228.8%-207.4%-154.3%-126.3%-43043.1%
SHOP-5939.7%-5902.8%-5845.1%-5835.4%-8565.8%
SNDKno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
SNPS-982.0%-955.5%-894.0%-882.1%-5510.0%
STX-3648.4%-3623.7%-3563.2%-3556.7%-15620.2%
TER-1851.9%-1828.8%-1772.2%-1744.0%-31351.6%
TMUS-487.0%-463.2%-405.6%-412.1%-340.0%
TRI-355.8%-332.5%-280.4%-252.7%-584.2%
TSLA-2335.8%-2297.8%-2276.9%-2209.1%-22993.5%
TTWO-685.9%-664.3%-597.9%-605.8%-5490.5%
TXN-634.5%-607.5%-558.0%-543.9%-38072.5%
VRTX-438.3%-412.0%-354.1%-350.9%-11958.6%
WBDno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica-292.9%
WDAY-260.8%-234.1%-197.2%-179.7%-324.1%
WDC-1166.4%-1143.8%-1105.5%-1076.6%-66170.4%
XEL-289.4%-259.0%-220.2%-203.5%-7384.2%
KDP-267.2%-242.4%-185.5%-182.5%-1103.1%
USD/MXNno aplicano aplicano aplicano aplicano aplica
Bitcoin-18084.8%-18084.8%-18069.9%-18011.4%-17095.2%
Etherno aplica

3 / 440 · contra el s&p 500 en la misma ventana: 0 / 440

¿Y si cambio un poco los parámetros? (sobre el índice)

ParámetrosRendimientoSharpeCaída máx.Vs. índice
lookback 25-17.8%-1.80-20.2%-3098.9%
lookback 10-32.5%-1.58-36.5%-3113.6%
lookback 40-1.9%-2.62-8.3%-3082.9%
lookback 605.5%-6.08-0.2%-3075.6%

Una regla que solo funciona con los números exactos del libro y muere un paso más allá no es una ventaja: es suerte.

Fuera de muestra y robustez (sobre el índice)

Walk-forward: OVERFIT · 0%

Sharpe deflactado: 0.00 (< 0.95)

Suite de robustez: FRAGILE

Por mitades: Primera mitad no batió (-8.4% vs +237.3%); Segunda mitad no batió (-10.3% vs +843.1%).

5 fold(s) scored; 0% within the robust degradation band [0.5, 1.5].

Mean OOS/IS Sharpe degradation = 0.

Deflated Sharpe 0.0 < 0.95 — edge does not clear the multiple-trials selection-bias hurdle.

Recibo

Calculado el 2026-09-10 · periodo: cada activo desde su primera vela (1962-01-01 a 2026-08-31) · costos por ida y vuelta: acciones e índice 10 pb, divisas 2 pb, cripto 30 pb · artefacto 2544360d2bb7 · motor de Finaxion

Por mercado

Las páginas de cada mercado, ordenadas por exceso anual sobre el S&P 500. Mostramos los primeros 4; el resto está en el sitemap. Ver los 4 mercados

Fuentes de la afirmación

Cómo citar

Finaxion Research (2026). Smart Money: la barrida de liquidez: funciona en pocos mercados. Backtest diario 1962-01-01–2026-08-31, artefacto 2544360d2bb7. https://finaxion.app/research/barrida-de-liquidez

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