Finaxion Research · PYPL

Which strategy works on PYPL?

On PYPL, 6 of 19 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.

Findings

On PYPL, 6 of 19 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample. The best is the golden cross (50/200): +8.1 points a year over buying and holding PYPL. The worst is Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles: -18.1 points a year against buy-and-hold.

On PYPL, 6 of 19 famous strategies beat buy-and-hold on daily bars; 0 of them hold out of sample.
The best is the golden cross (50/200): +8.1 points a year over buying and holding PYPL.
The worst is Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles: -18.1 points a year against buy-and-hold.

The 19 strategies, one by one

Strategy	Return	Buy and hold	Excess (pts/yr)	Vs. S&P 500 (pts/yr)	Out of sample	Trades
The golden cross (50/200)	235.5%	44.7%	+8.1%	-2.8%	—	11
Supertrend: the line that changes colour	206.1%	44.7%	+7.2%	-3.8%	—	12
RSI 14: buy oversold (30/70)	120.7%	44.7%	+4.0%	-7.0%	—	22
Wyckoff: buying the accumulation	69.8%	44.7%	+1.5%	-9.4%	—	64
Only invest above the 200-day average	68.3%	44.7%	+1.4%	-9.5%	—	83
Stochastic: oversold cross (14, 3)	60.1%	44.7%	+1.0%	-10.0%	—	142
The Turtles: 55-day breakout	22.5%	44.7%	-1.5%	-12.5%	—	40
ICT / Smart Money: the fair value gap	10.8%	44.7%	-2.4%	-13.4%	—	62
Bounce off the lower Bollinger band	-4.7%	44.7%	-3.8%	-14.8%	—	100
Ichimoku: buy above the cloud	-5.3%	44.7%	-3.9%	-14.8%	—	159
Smart Money: the liquidity sweep	-10.7%	44.7%	-4.4%	-15.3%	—	30
“Sell in May and go away”	-23.9%	44.7%	-5.8%	-16.7%	—	22
Upper Bollinger band breakout	-27.7%	44.7%	-6.2%	-17.2%	—	184
2-day RSI (the Connors rule)	-37.0%	44.7%	-7.4%	-18.4%	—	247
The MACD cross (12/26/9)	-38.5%	44.7%	-7.6%	-18.6%	—	228
Parabolic SAR: follow the dots	-40.8%	44.7%	-8.0%	-18.9%	—	254
Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA)	-50.3%	44.7%	-9.4%	-20.4%	—	382
ADX: trade only in strong trends	-50.6%	44.7%	-9.5%	-20.5%	—	342
Heikin Ashi: follow the coloured candles	-83.1%	44.7%	-18.1%	-29.1%	—	784

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